Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.028172 0.033565 0.039195 0.045471 0.052234 0.059269 0.067107
2025-11-23 0.018372 0.025705 0.033940 0.043674 0.054693 0.066631 0.080406
2025-11-30 0.013467 0.021880 0.031944 0.044396 0.058994 0.075244 0.094412
2025-12-07 0.010291 0.019346 0.030824 0.045575 0.063346 0.083530 0.107715
2025-12-14 0.008289 0.017866 0.030643 0.047579 0.068416 0.092437 0.121546
2025-12-21 0.006303 0.015970 0.029621 0.048296 0.071753 0.099178 0.132762
2025-12-28 0.005776 0.016148 0.031281 0.052342 0.079080 0.110567 0.149327
2026-01-04 0.003827 0.013558 0.028835 0.050871 0.079455 0.113592 0.156039
2026-01-11 0.002865 0.012421 0.028301 0.051797 0.082726 0.120008 0.166670
2026-01-18 0.001991 0.011153 0.027415 0.052136 0.085171 0.125367 0.176002
2026-01-25 0.001324 0.010047 0.026637 0.052529 0.087616 0.130674 0.185233
2026-02-01 0.000757 0.008826 0.025521 0.052342 0.089236 0.134914 0.193140
2026-02-08 0.000208 0.006926 0.023076 0.050224 0.088400 0.136274 0.197819
2026-02-15 0.000006 0.005344 0.020910 0.048361 0.087824 0.137927 0.202860
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004747 0.020519 0.049127 0.090764 0.143983 0.213251
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004345 0.020457 0.050371 0.094334 0.150826 0.224602
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004213 0.020952 0.052480 0.099095 0.159184 0.237815
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003748 0.020622 0.053236 0.101956 0.165102 0.248017
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004185 0.022438 0.057488 0.109713 0.177309 0.265993
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003216 0.020743 0.055942 0.109310 0.179011 0.270972
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002902 0.020595 0.056916 0.112431 0.185239 0.281543
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002494 0.020104 0.057271 0.114653 0.190289 0.290643
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002139 0.019668 0.057684 0.116935 0.195402 0.299812